Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 1.527277 1.767450 2.031702 2.343836 2.702297 3.100924 3.577723
2025-03-23 1.224365 1.545592 1.929233 2.420499 3.032269 3.768431 4.721085
2025-03-30 0.998868 1.361223 1.826278 2.465361 3.319299 4.419492 5.943284
2025-04-06 0.812827 1.187072 1.699595 2.450047 3.518043 4.980343 7.131579
2025-04-13 0.638207 0.993456 1.509877 2.311314 3.519439 5.267708 7.984232
2025-04-20 0.556918 0.918294 1.472611 2.378962 3.817416 6.004226 9.571484
2025-04-27 0.502350 0.873300 1.471011 2.496086 4.201089 6.911870 11.533076
2025-05-04 0.445443 0.813792 1.435324 2.549877 4.486543 7.696521 13.396963
2025-05-11 0.393533 0.753418 1.387601 2.573487 4.720190 8.419333 15.243443
2025-05-18 0.336613 0.674135 1.294217 2.501215 4.773290 8.836252 16.608073
2025-05-25 0.282771 0.591418 1.181627 2.375580 4.708826 9.031414 17.590365
2025-06-01 0.251634 0.548018 1.136300 2.369689 4.865066 9.641699 19.405946
2025-06-08 0.217288 0.493514 1.063379 2.303183 4.902954 10.049849 20.921385
2025-06-15 0.205825 0.485953 1.084803 2.432758 5.353680 11.317426 24.297311
2025-06-22 0.190958 0.468368 1.082496 2.511711 5.709805 12.438928 27.518375
2025-06-29 0.172128 0.438442 1.048747 2.516639 5.906957 13.254898 30.200080
2025-07-06 0.146593 0.388018 0.961039 2.386019 5.784263 13.372642 31.385090
2025-07-13 0.137341 0.376399 0.962088 2.463118 6.147452 14.598630 35.186237
2025-07-20 0.131625 0.372901 0.982144 2.588901 6.642135 16.179022 39.988536
2025-07-27 0.122772 0.359531 0.975642 2.647494 6.981167 17.438451 44.188181
2025-08-03 0.113241 0.342640 0.957578 2.673725 7.242630 18.543781 48.148752
2025-08-10 0.100413 0.314112 0.904502 2.599746 7.236820 18.997359 50.556011
2025-08-17 0.086986 0.281350 0.834799 2.469895 7.064960 19.013454 51.853813